not sure how snort.social counts followers, because when i query 300+ relays for users who follow a particular npub, the numbers i get back vary a lot.

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You can use https://nostr.band/ to get more accurate number of follows.

the idea is that i'm writing my own tool at https://nosy.tigerville.no, and i want it to give accurate follows, so that's not helpful in this case

The fucking master

Same for amethyst

#[2] seems more accurate

you mean filter.nostr.wine? i'm guessing it must be because it monitors that stuff over time, so even if relays reply inconsistently, it keeps collecting that over time. it's unfortunate that this is necessary. i don't quite understand why relays don't respond reliably to such queries.