I think you are right to some degree, I've been thinking a lot about this lately

Sometimes we think that being reactionary or having a believe that is not well grounded on data is something bad, I'm not so sure.

I think is an heuristic and as such it has it's flaws but can be of real use in cases when you dont have enough information or you need to act fast. Also for situations where the right answer is counterintuitive or come after some sort of point of no return has been reached. 🤔

In those cases even if it was just by chance, that strategy can be useful