To all the bears out there

In spite of recent price action, my feeling is there’s still life in this bull market

Don’t get shaken out by a lull in the up trend, a period of consolidation above 100k was very healthy

Next leg up inbound

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

Long spot

Short futures and MSTR

Why go short on MSTR? If you think there’s life in Bitcoin, and it trades at a multiple of BTC, then surely long MSTR is the way?

Pedophile

Because they are diluting shareholder to boost bitcoin buys. MSTR has already decoupled from Bitcoin price action on the upside in 2025 Bitcoin was making new ATH, MSTR was not. MSTR is a bull market play now shorting it will be a bear market play. Look how it performed in 2022 that’s where we’re headed again. If Bitcoin breaks below there cost basis somewhere in the 70k range shareholders panic and selling intensifies. If you want a multiple of bitcoin exposure BITX is 2x exposure but I wouldn’t recommend that now either. MSTR will be dirt cheap next year then it might be worth going long again.

I’ve been eyeing up a MSTR position at the bottom of the bear for a while

That would the time to enter I agree

Here’s MSTR priced in BTC over the post-Bitcoin-pivot period. This is a tradeable shitcoin, but, IMO, still way too high compared to holding spot. Late 2026 would be my guess at a profitable entry point.

Agree

You’re a pedophile

Pedophile