I have been doing research on the US housing market. From what I can gather there is a catastrophe brewing because there actually is a deflation effect occurring. I am curious to know how this will impact both the residential and commercial markets. Some predictions have a collapse in 26/27. It’s very interesting to study.
Discussion
I've heard a little about that potential. Mostly though, I read that modest appreciation is expected in the short term (next 2 years).
Money printing (which seems likely in the cards) typically flows into assets like real estate.
Will it be different this time? Always a gamble. But I'm gonna say no. It's not.
If interested, look into the work of Melody Wright on YT and Substack. nostr:nprofile1qqsywt6ypu57lxtwj2scdwxnyrl3sry9typcstje65x7rw9a2e5nq8spz3mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wcqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dsh6049m did a nostr:nprofile1qqsgt0d4sa0pz0wvn9yck36xxezf3qhwzksu0q254vruqed5wvuavuspzfmhxue69uhky6t5wd6xzcmt9eshquqpz3mhxue69uhkymrpwd68ytnxxaazu7re0gr80m5k interview recently. Many other interviews available as well. Her take seems solid, a GFC style meltdown on its way.
I'll check these for sure.
I'm not sure what the utility/upside is for the banks/gov in trapping folks into low interest debt for 50 years though. Like, what's the motive? Seems there are better ways to force fiat on the backs of the working class. He'll, rent itself creates quite a bit of taxable income.
The wackiest idea that comes to mind is that one of the promises of AI is lifespan extension. Both a higher quality and much longer. Kind of a brilliant move to fleece the masses by taking advantage of much longer lives. 🤷♂️
I like that. Improve their lives. Lengthen them. Then offer long-term loans in depreciating assets that they need.
Thats diabolical. Probably accurate.