IMO, no serious sellers before $1m. Just small fish nibbling until then. Once we hit $1m, some will sell to buy their dream homes which will be a huge mistake.
Discussion
Check out the distribution https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html
The fact is that Bitcoin is still very top heavy. I even think we could get there EOY, but coins need to keep being distributed and that will be the main barrier for crazy growth like that right now