Hong Kong braces for 36% drop in Primary One enrolments over 6 years
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The number of six-year-olds expected to start Primary One in Hong Kong is projected to decline by 36% over six years, from 49,600 this year to 31,500 in 2029. The primary school sector has described this prediction as 'very shocking' and is urging the government to lower the headcount threshold for operating a single class from 23 to 20 pupils to avoid further school closures. Yau Tsim Mong and Tsuen Wan will be the hardest-hit districts, with a projected 70% decline in Primary One enrolments. The number of 12-year-olds starting Form One is also expected to drop by 20% from 68,300 this year to 54,300 in 2029. The government has not proposed any new measures to address the shrinking student population.
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