This Cycle is Different.

They've all been different.

But this one feels especially so.

This open-source game of sat stacking has almost a completely new field of players so its starting to feel like a different game.

It's not.

Yes Bitcoin is becoming a global asset. Its leveling up and its correlation with Global M2 has me praying to the chart gods at times.

But just like before, this model will fail.

"Bitcoin is the best expression of currency debasement" - nostr:nprofile1qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqywhwumn8ghj7mn0wd68yttsw43zuam9d3kx7unyv4ezumn9wsqzp382htsmu08k277ps40wqhnfm60st89h5pvjyutghq9cjasuh38q7t6dtc

Truth, but remember that M2 is just fiat money. That doesn't count the monetary premium we've put on Houses, Pokemon Cards, Wine or Art.

All of our models will fail. There's simply no way to factor in all the elements of the infinitely complex system we either call society or nature.

I learned my lesson last cycle. I'm a veteran now and I definitely know how to time the top (in my dreams).

Be careful Anon, the upside failure is coming

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Discussion

Bitcoin will humble us in any ways possible 🙇🏻‍♂️

Bitcoin is like fine wine 🍷 the longer you leave it the better it gets

And that isn't a nod to fiat price, that's a nod to more infrastructure

Then the cold storage analogy doesn't work tho and infrastructure doesn't build itself

Dependent on which layer - cold 🥶 storage we could agree is base layer - lightning and cashu has limitless opportunities for builders imo

When internet Born in the 70's no body think about social media

Same thing with #bitcoin now no body know what will be in 20 years.

nostr:nevent1qqsyx9ullqpnu9z00ejmresplryqvcwsn23lvzq0kvv0pjqhcd9dcaspz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsyg9yfk7f4234w9m20484cvgxs3h2p94kdhst2rhrntl4fw4td39lfvpsgqqqqqqsssp29y

Just keep that DCA on auto-pilot and should we be graced with a big dip, buy, buy, (sell the furniture) & buy

I was just telling my husband it's time for LOTR

He knows that it's always time

Except I was DENIED

This does not compute

“stacking” is the optimal strategy for a Nash Equilibrium. friend or foe, it’s maximally in everyone’s’ self interest.

people that try and cheat it, game the system always lose.

spend btc when life needs arise, but just keep on stacking

I'm feeling a tad disappointed in bitcoin's recent performance. It doesn't seem to be performing as well as expected. The likelihood of it hitting $250k this year is looking less and less. It takes more and more fiat to shift the price and the fiat just isn't there. People are locked into pension plans that they can't get out of.

Doesn't take so much fiat to shift the price of doggie coin

Especially since it's easier for normies to convert that fiat to doggie coin without being sidetracked by lightning, custody platforms, etc.

I’m not one for the price predictions. I know what btc is, and I just let it do its thing. As if i could influence its price anyways.

We kicked off 2024 st 45k, currently at 107k, but thats measuring in the inflation system. best thing about btc is its outside. every sat is immune to debasement. that’s the game changer.

even if hyperbitcoinization happened, and market cap was 450T, each coin 40-50m, the question remains:

What do we do with the money we want to save?

good, stocks, bonds, cash, shitcoins?

btc is still the optimal strat even after full adoption

Genuine Bitcoin adoption > Bitcoin rehypothecation = Bitcoin overpowering the status quo.

And vice versa.