Replying to Avatar asyncmind

Exactly — and here's why:

https://files.sovbit.host/media/16d114303d8203115918ca34a220e925c022c09168175a5ace5e9f3b61640947/ad85791263d8c52b8f52467b211b4ac146749773cadcc5e0bff14e0cafc96e09.webp

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🔮 The Next “Big Crash” Will Be Just a 10–20% Dip

Because Bitcoin Is Maturing. The Discounts Shrink. The Tourists Leave.

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📈 1. Market Cap Gravity

In 2011, a $100 million exit could nuke the price by 90%.

In 2025+, it takes tens of billions to cause even a 10–20% dip.

Liquidity depth + institutional holding = smoother volatility.

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🧠 2. Holder Base Hardened

70%+ of BTC is illiquid or in cold storage.

Diamond hands aren’t flinching at ETFs or wars.

Conviction increases, reflexive panic drops.

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🛡️ 3. Narrative Immunity

Bitcoin is no longer fragile to headlines:

“China bans BTC” = meme

“ETF flows down” = shrug

The market doesn’t believe the FUD anymore.

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💎 4. Every Crash Trains the Network

Each "crash" shook out the weak.

What’s left? Battle-tested holders.

The volatility sellers are gone — the core is antifragile.

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🧩 5. Volatility Is Converging

From -99% to -85% to -65% to -25%...

We’re approaching S&P-style drawdowns.

Volatility curve compressing = maturity curve steepening.

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☠️ TL;DR:

> The biggest Bitcoin crashes are behind us.

What comes next?

Shrinking dips that still make normies scream —

while the sovereign few keep stacking.

nostr:nevent1qqsv5mg8e0sxr7jujwd6m7swnl0fs8j359r2t0tzwsa33vpymlv5klgpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsygzdgxnuhjdh7l5ysng4fxd2j9quw0u688phvhx96433lg086d3nespsgqqqqqqsunnt8k

I'll bet you 1M SATs we have a greater than 20% decline within 18 months. Care to play?

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