I think the market demands more block space as the amount of mining increases because it is directly proportional to the level of security of the network.
More mining = more security = more demand for Bitcoin as a store of value
Also in your “opportunity cost” remark, it should include the fee rewards, which recently exceeded the block reward, and will likely do so again in the future.
The block reward is the sum of fees (shown as "sats per byte" in the diagram), plus subsidy.
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