I really don’t think it will be clear even then. Not to most anyway. I encourage you to listen to the very good podcast, It Could Happen Here.
Any kind of “resistance” will almost certainly be very factionalized. Different regional groups vying for power and running their own propaganda campaigns. The “fog of war” would be extremely dense and getting any kind of real information will be difficult.
When it is at the front door and burns the house down, people figure it out.
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I hope you’re right. In the TikTok generation I don’t feel very optimistic about the intelligence of most people.