When computers are able to do entire jobs better than humans, those humans will respond by retraining into jobs that they can’t be replaced in.
This will continue until humans are only doing those jobs that machines can’t do. These may mostly be providing for the emotional needs of others.
The problem is that labor supply will 20-100x while demand is dropping by a similar amount.
Human earnings are going to zero.
I don’t make the rules. (I only guess at what they are)
#AI
This dystopian scenario depends on the cost of capital and energy approaching zero. And I don't believe they will be, even if current trends reverse abruptly.
Many minimally-skilled white collar jobs are entirely automatable, but since many of these positions were already primarily about stroking bosses'/clients' self-importance many will survive regardless. This includes account managers, gofers and political staffers.
Many entry level jobs in otherwise skilled white collar professions will be automated, which will be disruptive, especially for organisational cultures that don't like to invest in training.
Hotel room attendants have zero risk of automation - the capital and energy costs can't justify it.
Retail staff could be replaced, but won't be, except online, which was happening anyway.
Blue collar trades can be automated in some factory contexts, but they're otherwise safe. This includes the military.
AI is potentially coming for artists, musicians and journalists, because it already does their jobs better than most of those ever did. But it can't overdose in a bathroom, suffer an unplanned pregnancy from a patron, or vomit off a penthouse balcony while naked at 5am on a Wednesday. So even they will survive.
