Look at a picture of the May sunspot from 2024 and compare it to the sunspot found in the Carrington observations. These are the exact same. A Carrington event will occur every 50 years in conjunction with a solar eclipse, as I had said.
Proof is here: https://cosmoquest.org/x/evsn/2024/05/22/closer-look-the-2024-carrington-event/
Not convincing on either point
This is not how sun spots work. You can't compare visuals. Magnetic complexity is most important along with size of the CME or flare and the "directness" of the event towards Earth.
This also completely ignores the severity of the flare. The Carrington flare was likely an X60+ event as best we can tell. May 2024 didn't even reach X10.
