Week 11 ATS Picks

I went 1-4 last week in all three pools (I used the same picks), which was disappointing after I had been on quite a roll. My overall records dropped from six, seven and eight games over .500 to three, four and five, respectively. Whatever dream I might have had of getting into overall contention is dead. The only silver lining is not having a Circa Millions-winning season the year I skipped the Circa Millions.

Here are this week’s picks:

I used the same picks for both “Normal” entries.

I like the Bears with Justin Fields back against a vulnerable Lions defense. Detroit should put up points, but I think the Bears keep up.

I know the Dolphins blow out bad teams, but this line is huge, and the Raiders have shown a pulse of late. Plus, playing in Miami in mid-November isn’t quite the same as going there in early September.

The Giants are terrible, but Danny DeVito is getting experience, the Team just had a heartbreaking loss, the Giants played for 60 minutes last week, and nine is enough points.

The Jaguars are a hunch pick. They’re mediocre, but I like a buy-low off a blowout.

The Niners seem like the kind of team that will work the Buccaneers. Baker Mayfield is okay, but the defense will be too much for him.

Only two picks differ here: the Jets and the Chiefs.

The Bills are off balance, and the Jets typically show up and play hard. I’ll take seven points.

I like the Chiefs laying less than three at home. Just a hunch Andy Reid will have his team ready after the bye.