Hot take: I believe in the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Except most market participants are literally retarded.

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Efficiently* retarded

true, but should sort itself in the long term after all the retarded people lose their money?

Case and point:

a. Almost all rate hike futures bets made by the ‘smart money’ bond market have been wrong for 2 straight years

b. Bitcoin isn’t $500 billion a coin

Can’t exist in tandem with central banking.