塔勒布认为真正的自信应该是像索罗斯那样，敢于不断推翻自己先前的观点和论断，而不是为了维护玻璃心自尊心而一错再错。

想一想上一次自己打脸是什么时候？我可能是在2021年彻底改变对国内投资市场的看法，清仓大A走人的时候。

“Similarly, the speculator George Soros, when making a financial bet, keeps looking for instances that would prove his initial theory wrong. This, perhaps, is true self-confidence: the ability to look at the world without the need to find signs that stroke one's ego.”

—— 《黑天鹅》第五章