unpopular opinion?

if and when bitcoin gets extremely dense and efficient, and a robust fee market materialize for multi-years duration, a modest block-size increase is legit

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We should bump it a little n e ways before then just to make sure nothing fucks up.

Don't see that happening and for good reason. Fees are good.

why not let a bit more activity pay fees?

It's hard to imagine a hard forked chain becoming the majority.

it if makes long-term economic sense it will be the canon chain

I believe that the solution with the fewest assumptions and most certainty should be chosen, and as time goes on, increasing block size doesn't seem to be the way to go.

you’d be rug-pulling every miner on earth. It would need to be telegraphed years in advance. I don’t see it happening but who knows.