how is that any different than organized gambling? :D not being salty, i just read that and i thought to myself, this sounds exactly like hedging a bet. or a horse race, or vice versa.
I would not be surprised at all. I recommend plebs not try to dump any tokens. The blockchain could be congested, but more importantly, it is based on a speculation. If you're wrong, you could literally lose everything.
https://github.com/libbitcoin/libbitcoin-system/wiki/Split-Speculator-Dilemma
Discussion
The point is you don't know which side of the fork will win, so why take a gamble?