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I think there will be a violent upward move very late in this cycle. Will last 6months. Starting soonish. Hence the 8-9 month bet from NOW.

I think 350-500 “could” be the tippy top of such a move. Or not. I obviously have no hidden knowledge. Just an opinion.

Bet accordingly. Options market still likes your side of the bet far more than mine….

The Stacker Monster 6mo ago

I gotcha. That was not what I took away from your original reply to me:

"I still see it happening. 350k-500k at tippy top in a gap up move over 6 months. Beginning in 3…2…1…. 🚀 🧡"

I read that as:

Beginning asap (due to your last sentence) there will be a 6 month move that will reach between 350k-500k.

That is why I said I'd bet that what you said would happen in that response would not happen. I guess now there are a lot of caveats, extended timelines, and you want a lower price target because of.... options markets?

I dunno, it seemed like my interpretation of your sentence is correct even after I read it a few times. I guess you didn't actually mean you believed what you said, it just sounded cool?

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Discussion

Chris 6mo ago

Ok. Jan 31 2026 then. (3..2..1 meant very soon, but not necessarily today, tomorrow)

Fun bet…100k sats.

If I wanted to make bigger bet, I would get 5-10x better odds. THATS the point of the options market reference.

Ie. The market SO agrees with you, that a 50/50 bet on btc being above 275k in 6-7 months is foolish when far better stakes are offered. Make sense?

Let me know…😉

The Stacker Monster 6mo ago

I'll take the bet despite this not at all being what you said in your response ;)

Chris 6mo ago

Don’t be passive aggressive. The bet is only 30 days longer than the terms YOU originally proposed. All else was exactly as you proposed it.

Take it or leave it. I don’t care either way. Just don’t whine. 😉

The Stacker Monster 6mo ago

You were the one whining that you want to change your original statement, in which there was no ambiguity about what you believed.

"I still see it happening. 350k-500k at tippy top in a gap up move over 6 months. Beginning in 3…2…1…. 🚀 🧡"

I already said I accept the bet. Just pointing out, its much easier to just post random targets than actually back it up with your money... You were the one claiming 350-500 by end of 2025, not me.

The Stacker Monster 3mo ago

nostr:nprofile1qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqyw8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnzd96xxmmfdejhytnnda3kjctvqqszvrf6sg9hlr0zpayhyujenxc6lz9se324fj3cl95pert90czrescen02ld - you want to just pay me now or prefer to wait until Jan 31?

Chris 3mo ago

Can you screenshot me the details of our bet? 🤓

Chris 3mo ago

Ahhh yes. 275k usd by Jan 31, 2026. 100k sats. Still 100ish days away.

Why would I close out early? Ie give away free optionality. 🧐

Just explain it in your own words (know idea how old you are) 😉

Chris 3mo ago

“No” idea 😝

The Stacker Monster 3mo ago

Lol, I was about to comment on that, something along the lines of: I'm old enough to know the difference between know and no ;)

Chris 3mo ago

Just curious. Are you proposing a buy out? Or happy to wait until Jan 31st for your 100k sats? 😉

The Stacker Monster 3mo ago

Nah, we can wait until Jan 31 for the full payout 😄

Chris 3mo ago

👌

Chris 3mo ago

If this is just your way on checking if I will be good for the 100k sats on Jan 31. Have no fear. It will be zapped to you promptly. 110 percent 😉

Chris 1mo ago

I think we can settle this now….😉

The Stacker Monster 1mo ago

I appreciate you honoring your bet. Should there be a crazy upward swing, I'll zap em right back to you with a big smile on my face cuz we're all rich!

furio 6mo ago

I think he’s a 12 year old.

Chris 6mo ago

Touché! 😝