SURVIVING WEEK 12

I went 5-0 on the Normal entries last week, but 3-2 on the Ugly one. I’m having a solid year, but still a good eight games out of overall contest contention which is probably too much ground to gain in six weeks.

In any event, here are my picks (the non-Thanksgiving ones are subject to change):

Normal

I don’t love that the Lions won a close game, but so did the Packers last week, and I don’t think much of Jordan Love. I like the Lions to get back on track at home and win easily.

The Pats laying three is horrendous as it is the Giants who should be favored based on team quality, but this seems like a classic buy-low, sell-high, and the Giants got awfully lucky on turnovers last week while taking nine sacks.

I give the Justin Fields Bears a puncher’s chance against all the non-elite teams, and the Vikings are certainly non-elite.

The Raiders have shown up since Antonio Pierce took over, and the Chiefs have to come off a tough loss on a short week and travel to Vegas. This line seems a little large.

The Texans are equal to the Jaguars, yet they’re getting 1.5 at home.

Ugly

I swapped out the Patriots for the Jets, as 9.5 is a huge road line for the Dolphins, especially as the weather and wind start to become factors in late November.