Idk dude.. I think they are observing something real.. but this chart from Lowery is a better expression of the phenomenon imo
Discussion
See that makes actual more sense then all of the Fourth Turning stuff. Like the underlying physics that is then turned into a narrative and ascribed to different causes.
Yeah... you can just sum it up by saying people become complacent and their BCRa rises which leads to war. Through the process of war security increases and BCRa lowers.
The fourth turning is much more unscientific.. they are trying to describe a real phenomenon but they never actually describe why it happens. The best they do is to describe the events of history and how it appears to form a cycle.
Bitcoin breaks the cycle because the BCRa for its holders only ever decreases bevause they constantly project more and more power seemingly never becoming complacent.