Replying to Avatar mark tyler

Well, maybe I misunderstand what you're saying 🫂

"They are very robust search engines, nothing more."

"[...] There is nothing impressive with any of these. Clippy 2.0 at best."

Explaining why "I’d argue people are the same in the ways that matter for short term economic productivity" is relevant:

When I read the above quotes, to me it seems like you're saying that AI is unlikely to have much more effect on maybe the economy and wages than clipboard managers like clippy.

But I'm point out that many people are currently mostly getting paid for doing exactly what you say this is limited to: "finding, analyzing, and relaying relevant information" And if we can get it to do that for robotic movement planning then again many more people are getting paid for something this machine is doing. Machines are likely to get better, and outcompete people.

If that's true then it's not "nothing more". 🫂
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Joel Walbert 2y ago

One thing to keep in mind. Tech R&D these days is mostly lofty promises and propaganda. Gotta keep funding flowing in, so all these claims are made of this or that is right around the corner. Think along the lines of Elon promising every year that full autonomous driving will be ready 'next year'. Its all for fund raising.

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mark tyler 2y ago

That may be true, but if you compare text generation from today to 4 years ago, it’s exponentially better today. Self driving isn’t really like that, and even it has improved a lot in the last 10

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Joel Walbert 2y ago

I can agree with that. All Im really saying is people tend to greatly exaggerate and/or overestimate what LLMs are and what they do. Im not really shitting on the technology in and of itself. Its good at what it does. But its just hyped up beyond what it is.