I got curious and just updated the numbers from the other post 🤔

An interesting analysis of how orders end up on my coordinator.

Data extracted from the last 90 days (Beginning on 2025-04-27 and ending on 2025-07-26)

2292 Successful orders without dispute

16 Successful orders in dispute

70 Orders punished in dispute

12 Collaborative cancellations in dispute

157 Collaborative cancellations without dispute

Orders with takers (processed): 2292 + 16 + 70 + 12 + 157 = 2547

Disputed: (16 + 70 + 12) / 2547 = 3.8%

Successful in dispute: 16 / 2547 = 0.6%

Punished in dispute: 70 / 2547 = 2.7%

Collaborative cancellations in dispute: 12 / 2547 = 0.5%

Collaborative cancellations without dispute 157 / 2547 = 6.2%

Successful: (2292 + 16) / 2547 = 90.6%

So if you are with a peer in a trade on RoboSats, know that the probability of everything ending well is approximately 90.6%. I consider this a very good success rate.

If you consider that collaborative cancellations without dispute are not a problem, the chance of a successful trade or a collaborative cancellation without dispute is 96.8%.

Without much change 👍

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