There has never been a 4-year period in which Bitcoin was worth less at the end than at the beginning.

The lowest growth over a 4-year period that I could find was ~80%.

Now, imagine a financial institution that gets this.

That institution could issue Bitcoin-backed loans that are not over-collateralised.

You deposit $10,000 worth of BTC in a multisig and you get a $10,000 loan, over 4 years.

The interest rate can be much lower than what's available today, if the institution has a stake in the rise of the collateral.

Say the $10K worth collateral is worth $18K, at the end of the loan.

The lender could be entitled to a small percentage (3-5%) of that growth, if the interest they charge on the loan is say 5% or lower.

Just my 2 sats...

What do you think?

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

It makes absolute sense.

The market for Bitcoin-backed loans is growing and more players are entering this space: from new startups to established banks.

This will bring down the annual interest rates (currently in the 7%-12% range) to the level you are predicting.

It may take some time, but we will get there. It's inevitable unless we reach Bitcoin mass adoption earlier. 😉

Disclosure: I work for Firefish.io, a non-custodial, p2p, platform for Bitcoin-backed loans.

Yeah, the Bitcoin-backed lending market has changed a ton in just the last 4-5 years. I can't even imagine what will be available in the next 4-5 years, but I'm sure it will be insane