Friday,
I decided I would ask grok to estimate the probability we are a fascist country in 4 years. It was 15%. I can continue the same thread a while.
Today,
it said 18%. It even listed why each percent was added. (Pope died? +1%). Some AIs aren't up to date, but grok gets updated frequently.
I think that's easy money if you can find a prediction market, you can make 5:1.