Hard to say. Leaning towards yes
Discussion
Really? I didn't realise it was a real possibility. Seems like sensational slop on the surface, but seems like a lot of people are saying it is likely and some very likely
Leaning only. It's a close one, and one I was pondering recently. He does seem to follow through to some degree on these wild sounding things, and I gather that strategically it's important to secure the oceans around there.
I'm only a couple days into being a military expert, so take with grain of salt