200k looking improbable for 2025. Charts dont lie. 
Discussion
Maybe or maybe not. 3 data points in ANY series is statistically INSIGNIFICANT.
Never ceases to amaze me how many super smart bitcoiners fail to understand thisโฆ.
Not trying to be confrontational. Just stating a mathematical/statistical factโฆ.
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Agree with your points. But it would take a serious pump now to smash through 200k in the next few months. Literally going vertical ๐ I do love a god candle,.but its unlikely or what's your take?
Agreed about next 100 days, but I think this cycle has much more to run. Probably topping in 1H 2026. Catalysed by some massive western nation state central bank money printing necessary to prop up the multiple (soon to be) collapsing debt bubbles. Home mtg, credit card, CRE, auto loan, etc.
I think A LOT of well intended Bitcoiners are gonna get wrecked selling too early in hopes of replacing cheaper in the next down cycle.
Just my 2 sats ๐งก๐
Good take and I can see something like that playing out. The slow grind up will be too much for some.
The extent of the fiat bubbles is huge,
will take some serious printing to keep going.