Shen: As Ukraine sees success in offensive operations in Kursk, the rest of the globe scrambles to contextualize the broader lessons.

Is Russia exhausting itself, or is it reorganizing to put itself on a sustainable long-term war footing? Will this result in something similar to the Soviet (or American) withdrawal from Afghanistan? Or will it look like the Soviets in WWII growing stronger each year, even as unimaginable losses mounted?

Is Ukraine able to win? Keep delivering setbacks to Russia until it destabilizes or quits? Or is this a gamble after the previous offensive proved disappointing? Kyiv needs to show success so that aid will continue to flow.

Are the Western efforts to refocus on defense moving the needle in terms of capability? Or is this an opportunity for profiteers to engage in graft?

Most importantly, from my own point of view, can a small country resist a much larger military power on its doorstep if it has enough Western support?

#ukraine #kursk

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