Probably Nostr was a tail risk for many big techs “experts” only concerned with their direct and well-known competitors, being a new competitor emerging from scratch, very unlikely and that could be discarded in their analyzes and models market forecast.

This is the problem with not having understood or not being able to consider the Black Swan concept in their analyses, due to these events being ridiculously improbable and unpredictable and as the analyst's job is to justly predict future scenarios, these events are normally discarded from these analyzes because it would be impossible to consider all possible extreme possibilities.

But are precisely these high-impact events that are the most important and that completely change the course of history and by definition are unpredictable.