An inflationary currency requires an ever-expanding monetary and credit supply for the underlying economy to survive over the long-term.

Deflationary pressures are the primary adversaries to such a system and, if and when they occur, they must be quickly resolved or removed.

In light of this, the Federal Reserve (and other central banks) attempting ongoing quantitative tightening in an inflationary system is akin to driving 70 mph down the highway and shifting the car into reverse.

The engine will eventually reject this paradox...

And quantitative easing will be forcibly resumed.

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Discussion

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An object in motion tends to stay in motion

Yes, but Powell is wearing his seatbelt and Lagarde is clinging to the roof of the car. Did he really mistake reverse for 5th or is he trying to kill her?

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/tftc-a-bitcoin-podcast/id1292381204?i=1000607866034

I tend to think people are aware that something will eventually give.

It kind of surprises me that so many are trying to time it though.

In a deflationary environment, the purchasing power of your fiat increases while they continue to debase the very same fiat. I'd rather just hold bitcoin & sleep well.

Any timing predictions? Gut feel?