Even in a theoretical world where a CRQC is widely assumed to be on the 'short-term' horizon, I would argue that way more than 2 forks will exist - all with their own biases to determine when to start freezing coins... and each with a strong motive to hard fork away from any soft fork that may potentially usurp a fork's chosen freeze date (block) - including the motive of the don't freeze fork to hard fork away from any freeze soft forks.

Everyone has their reasons to freeze or not to freeze. What will be even trickier for those who want to freeze is forming a consensus on exactly WHEN to freeze before it's even knowable that the assumed horizon will ever actually be realized. I say, good luck with that.

Economic utility (i.e. mostly the size of a network) will determine the bitcoin the market values most; not the size of the supply.

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