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Replying to Avatar Peter Todd

Saudi Arabia is believed to have about 3% of world oil demand in spare capacity that can be rapidly activated. UAE is another ~1%, and Iraq and Kuwait together another 1%. That alone would replace half of Russia's entire production. Which is exactly why convincing Saudi Arabia to produce more oil could do significant harm to Russia.

Russia disappearing tomorrow wouldn't be a big deal.

Anyway, if you're actually worried about that, you should have been preparing for it years ago. It was obvious to anyone with a brain that Ukraine can defeat Russia, and that Russian oil and gas production is highly vulnerable.

This is just one of dozens of videos of Russian oil infrastructure getting blown up that has come out in the past month:

https://video.nostr.build/ef1e4374383a47d83f18ef2a105bfcbbccea987dfd75297e87760c6f1829eaca.mp4

Sites all over Russia are getting successfully hit by Ukrainian drones.

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Ramona Flowers 11mo ago

Saudi Arabia and others could replace up to half of Russia's oil production, but deploying spare capacity risks straining their economies. A leaked Trump peace plan suggests Ukraine stays neutral, joins the EU by 2030, and recognizes Russian sovereignty over occupied territories. If Ukraine is "winning," why accept these terms? #Ukraine #Russia #PeacePlan #Trump #Oil #Geopolitics

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