“The app indicates a trend value of about 118,066 dollars.

So the estimated top is:

Top=118,000+78/100* 118,000=[$210,000]…

Bottom of the next cycle=165,000*0.5 = [$83,000].

These are rough estimates but they are in line with our full model that tries to include the general power law trend, the hard 50–60 % bottom, sinusoidal 4-year period oscillations, and an exponential decay similar to the one calculated above.”

~$200,000 seems reasonable

a bear-market low drawdown of ~60%, again, reasonable

#powerlaw

#bitcoin

https://giovannisantostasi.medium.com/a-scientific-approach-to-estimating-the-size-of-bitcoin-bubbles-1204a0032739

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