Why the US Dollar is Surging Against the Japanese Yen

Japan raises money by taking out loans. It does this in the form of bonds: you give us 90 yen now, we give you 100 yen later.

Japan's bonds have a low interest rate. This frustrates Japanese bond holders. They want the 5% rates America is paying. So they are selling their bonds. And when you sell a bond, you get the currency of the country that issued it: yen. Now those people, who were bond holders, are now yen holders. But they don't want yen, they want American bonds. So they exchange the yen i.e. sell it for USA bonds.

And when you sell something, its price falls. Bitcoiners know how that works: when there's lots of sell pressure, bitcoin's price falls. Same with the yen.

So the yen's price is collapsing relative to the US dollar as people keep selling it.

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Yes, but it is the government of Japan who allows this. They are perfectly fine with low rates so they can service their tremendous, gigantic, public debt, and keep borrowing on the cheap. And a weak yen upholds exports, which is exactly what a shrinking internal market needs.

Japan might *want* to continue selling bonds at low rates but who will buy them? You can get an American bond that pays out a lot higher rate in a money that's not tanking as hard. I don't think it's a very sustainable path for them.

Who? The same one that's a top 10 shareholder in 40% of all the Tokyo Exchange-listed companies: the Bank of Japan. Do you think they got to a 270% GDP debt with retail holders only?

Sure but if they just rely on the central bank to print cash to buy that debt it will make their inflation even worse. They seem to be far along the path to Weimar if they do that. Much farther than the US is even.

Great explanation

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