I agree with most of that except for a few things. First, it is a conflict. Second, your ignoring the increasingly political and economic incentives. Third, it is more nuanced than you may believe. The reason for this recent (and staggering) increase in aggression has dual motives. A major one of them being their increased reliance on natural gas exportation–which has grown significantly over the past five years. This sector has created jobs, lowered domestic energy costs, led to significant technological innovation, and has attracted a lot of foreign investment. Therefore, there is now a growing economic and political reason for this attack on Palestine. Sucks to hear... but... it's true.