Whether or not you see a note depends on whether the relay(s) that carry the note are up and you are connected to them. So if the only relay carrying the note that you connect to is the mostr bridge and it's down you won't see it. Notes do get propagated through to other relays but it's not perfect.

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No I'm talking about on the Mastodon side. Notes should show up there if this is working as it's supposed to, but 99% of the time they don't.

If you see a note on the fedi server and then it disappears then it may be related to moderation/ defederation on their part.

WRT Activitypub I think (though Alex may advise otherwise) it is push/ pull. When you push an event to activitypub, every server that has a subscriber (follower) to your notes will pull that event. I think, depending on the sw it may pull per follower as well. You could get overwhelmed with failure messages if they're sent back (I'm not sure if they are tbh, would have assumed they would just drop stuff).