He's missing everything. And not even like missing, but things are basically unknown to him, because he hasn't followed the developments in Russia and its 'near-abroad' since the collapse of the Soviet Union. It's too long to capture in a nostr post, but: Ryazan sugar, Politkovskaya, Dugin, Nemtsov, GRU 54777, Yanukovich, Mezhyhirya, Titushky, Berkut, Mogilevich, Holodomor, Strelkov/Girkin's rush to Slovyansk, Brosok Mangusta, etc, etc, etc
The whole idea that some nebulous 'the West' could've just promised Putin something about Ukraine and the war would've been avoided is just people falling for Russian psyops.