The point of the BTFP program is to insulate banks from under water bonds so that the Fed can keep hiking. Not only that but, this will increase bank demand for qualifying debt like USTs and MBSs which is exactly what they want. IMO, stuff needs to get worse for hikes to halt.

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So Powell is going to hike again.

How many points do you expect?

What's the real event that causes a course reversal?