It solely depends on demand. There are newbies TODAY who pay $5000 (0.1 BTC) in gas to have their one simple transaction processed. Right next to another tx in the same block that paid only 10 sats/vbyte 🤷♂️
If all the huge banks in the world need to settle their accounts, then a $5000 gas bill isn't much for them. Common people will be priced out to L2 or higher.