It was at 15k the end of 2022. And It will never reach that level again.

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Agreed

Like, a 50% drop os possible but not probable at this point. Something huge would have to happen, another lock down or something to that degree.

What I've learned in all these years is that you should never say never.

I'm 100% confident it will not see below 16k again. Based on many factors. Reserves . Lost coins , etc.