The Fourth Turning Theory: Will it happen?

It suggests that history moves in 80-year cycles of crisis and renewal.

From the Revolutionary War to the Civil War, then World War II, and now—80 years later—we find ourselves deep in another upheaval that began around 2008, with Trump emerging as a pivotal figure.

Is history repeating itself?

As this Fourth Turning nears its climax, 2025 could bring a significant war that shatters the old order and reshapes society. Are we on the brink of another historic reset?

'The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy' by William Strauss and Neil Howe introduces a cyclical theory of history, suggesting that societal moods and events repeat in four distinct phases, or "turnings," each spanning approximately 20-25 years.

Society moves through four cycles:

—High: strong institutions, unity after crisis

—Awakening: spiritual questioning, rebellion

—Unraveling: individualism, weakening institutions

—Crisis: upheaval, destruction, and renewal