If you think about it, predicting the future randomly is always going to lean towards the average.
If someone can predict 50-50 bets with better than 50-50 accuracy (even just a little), then they are well paid to predict the future.
But what would it mean if someone is able to more frequently pick the wrong side of a 50-50 bet?
Well, they too should be paid well and perhaps a little extra since they also have to be an actor.
Certainly someone has done analysis on his predictions when it comes to various assets, particularly Bitcoin?