That kind of aggressive goal-setting should be rewarded whether he finishes or not. Maybe whatever % completion of the trilogy he gets through, give him that % of the original wager.

Definitely want to continue encouraging that delusional optimism!

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I don't think it's delusional at all. Seems like he has a good sense of his own capabilities.

Fair enough. I still think that not enough people today have a sense of "delusional optimism" and that it is a positive trait which should cherished and nurtured when we live in a society that loves to tell people to live in fear and scarcity.

Why do so many think that it will be bet in the sense to win anything more then pleasure?

Because a bet is a wager on an outcome.