Is it true #lightning needs a custodian to be effective?

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No, but custodial wallets are usually easier to get started with for new users because you don’t have to deal with setting up channels and maintaining liquidity.

People who expect a Venmo-like experience (this came up last night) don’t want to have to fund an initial deposit of hundreds of thousands of sats to open a channel just to be able to receive a payment.

So why do you need significant liquidity to receive a payment?

Phoenix wallet has a good visualization of this. You need an open channel with enough available liquidity to receive a payment.

Is that fixed of does it scale with the exchange rate?

Non custodial lightning network is utter shit, custodial lightning network is just shit. And I have been using it a lot because of adoption lightning gets over other better solutions.