I have a feeling that civil war, at least in America,is unlikely.
The Fed gov't has long since spent its goodwill, IMO and any calls for keeping the union is going to be largely meet with a "meh" or "why?".
This is a good thing and needs to be fostered.
Here in Europe it felt like we were right before one on the height of the "corona crisis" late 21/early 22.
I can't speak to the potential for war in Europe other than there is a lot more history of intracontinental fighting there than the US.
I do hope for a peaceful falling apart of Germany's newest control scheme (EU). And if it does fall that the general population will learn the lesson of too much central control
