I’m not sure anyone can say “it’s going pretty much the way he wanted to” when the list was clearly knocked up last minute using ChatGPT.

Sure, let’s see what happens, but let’s not pretend this is some decades long plan and 4D chess either.

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I don’t know and probably will never know what was the signal and the noise. I just don’t see the flaw you describe and how it would be fatal. Not important - have a great day!