3 red flags we’ve seen as of recent for the economy:

1. The Sahm Rule was triggered last Friday with unemployment rising to 4.3%.

2. The VIX (volatility index) hit levels not seen since the brief recession in 2020 and the Global Financial Crisis (2008) on Monday.

3. The yield curve is nearing un-inversion. Historically, when the yield curve un-inverts, that is when we see clearer signs of a recession.

It’s unlikely that we’re seeing all of these recessionary signals coincidently. I’m expecting to see some more things fall apart in the near future.

#economy #sahmrule #vix #investing