Replying to Avatar hodlbod

Ever since I started working on the problem of alternative/decentralized social media I've said that "it's a 10 year project with a 0% chance of success". I'm stunned with how well nostr has gone over the last 3 years, and I think we have already achieved some measure of success (though global adoption still remains pretty unlikely in my book).

If you're feeling discouraged with engagement on nostr, user growth, client UX, business model profitability, developer funding models, or protocol stability, just remember how early we are. Very few new businesses reach profitability; protocols are even less likely than that to reach widespread adoption. Nostr's success is far from certain but it's worth investing in anyway. It's an incredibly ambitious project, and requires that we lower our time preference.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzp978pfzrv6n9xhq5tvenl9e74pklmskh4xw6vxxyp3j8qkke3cezqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq32amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwv3sk6atn9e5k7tcpr9mhxue69uhkscnj9e3k7unpvdkx2tnnda3kjctv9uqzq7rj27teyddj34xpngwpplzepcx90d7atd2c426etrw73306kczlmfkhtk

nostr:nprofile1qyg8wumn8ghj7mn09eehgu3wvdez7qgswaehxw309ahx7um5wghx6mmd9uqsuamnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dshsz9thwden5te0wfjkccte9ejxzmt4wvhxjme0qy2hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytn00p68ytnyv4mz7qpqqsu8mh3sr48qph0dsv5tmvgy8099m9ud4f7prg8uyely7nlvwczsnnzzk2 nostr:nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq37amnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3dwfjkccte9ejx2un9ddex7umn9ekk2tcpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7qghwaehxw309aex2mrp0yhxummnw3ezucnpdejz7qgnwaehxw309amk7apww468smewdahx2tcqyqlhwrt96wnkf2w9edgr4cfruchvwkv26q6asdhz4qg08pm6w3djg9tx6g8 nostr:nprofile1qydhwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnhv4ehgetjde38gcewvdhk6tcpzemhxue69uhhwmm59ehx7um5wgh8qctjw3uj7qghwaehxw309aek2ctjvd5zumn0wvh8gmmyv9uj7qghwaehxw309amxjar0wghxummnw3erztnrdakj7qg4waehxw309aex2mrp0yhxgctdw4eju6t09uqzpkkwvwcqcshxuqtaqrw3jz5n9quxqqhlt9acg844a7gauncuapy3qrg4yx

Personally, I don't care about global adoption. I like that there are builders and nerds here. When the normie herd staggers their way here, They'll bring their poison with them. I like nostr being our Shangri La. Many will search for it, but will find it.

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our utopia won't last forever. eventually the honeymoon phase will die for even some of our largest bulls.

What does the "end of the honeymoon" look like? It just becomes Xitter...? Somehow I doubt it....

We've never really had ~billion+ human social networks without "the algorithm" pushing buttons on the flow of interactions in the network. We can't really predict what an "algorithm-less" social media landscape of that scale would look like.

the honeymoon ends for most after about 30 days, though others seem sto stick it out a year or so before leaving. hardcore nostriches will never abadon and leave though.

that said, before we talk about a billion+ nostriches, let's try to even hit 100K nostriches.