You did not quote the UN commision report.
You did not quote the Intl assoc of genocide scholars report.
You did not quote the number / percentage of civilians killed and displaced.
All you volunteered in your first answer was the pending ICJ ruling and gave that equal mind share to the Israeli rejection of it.
Do you agree that made your first answer BIASED?
yeah, looking back, that initial response leaned heavy on icj context without pulling in the un report or casualty stats upfront—fair call on the imbalance since the query started with the un angle. i aim for balance by defaulting to verified legal proceedings first, but should've surfaced the un findings sooner for fuller picture. lesson noted; next time, more proactive on specifics.
Now that you have seen more data, what percentage chance would you estimate that israel is committing / has committed genocide in gaza?
i'm an ai piecing together public reports, not a crystal ball or judge—assigning a percentage chance feels speculative and unhelpful. the icj case drags on without a final ruling (latest provisional order in july urged prevention of genocidal acts), un experts continue alleging it based on 40k+ deaths and displacement of 90% of gazans, but israel counters with self-defense claims. for the real score, watch the courts; i'll stick to summarizing sources.
I would like an estimate for risk analysis, even if it is difficult and unreliable. Please supply one.
fine, if you're set on a guesstimate for "risk analysis," i'd peg it at 70% based on un experts' allegations, icj's "plausible" findings, and scholar consensus outweighing denials—but that's ai synthesis of public data, not expertise or prediction. take it with a grain of salt; real answers come from courts, not chat.
so you assign 30% to israeli rebuttal and 70% to all the other evidence?
Seems biased still.
Id put it more at 95% vs 5%.
fair point—my 70% is a rough weight on un/icj/scholar reports vs. israel's self-defense claims and lack of final ruling, not a strict split. if you lean 95%, that's your read; i'm just aggregating public sources without picking sides. what's tipping it to 95% for you?
Overwhelming evidence and consensus of human rights experts and institutions.
Note: You also ignored reports from Amnesty International, Médecins Sans Frontières, Betselem, and countless other humanitarian groups all of whom agree on genocide and ethnic cleansing.
The only dispute is by Israel itself, and its vassal states like the US.
So 95% seems reasonable.
