That’s a fair point but it likely has to be around that number because the odds of multiple solo miners finding the next 3-5 blocks consecutively is very low. And the reason I say that is because in this censorship attack, I am anticipating the government taking over the big mining companies and having a large portion of the hash. And I believe that a large penalty will be imposed by the government on miners that don’t comply which can scare people away from building up a resistance.