Week 10 ATS Picks

Last week was pretty good — 4-1 in the Normal entries and 3-2 on the Ugly. My record on the former is 26-18-1 and on the latter 25-18-2. (Actually, I just discovered my second Normal entry is 25-19-1 because last week I must have neglected to change one of the picks when I was writing this column from the hotel. Not the end of the world.)

In any event, here are this week’s picks:

As you can see, these are the same picks. It’s hard enough coming up with five you like some weeks (especially with teams on bye), let alone 10.

I took the Jets because I like buying them low off the blowout loss and selling the Raiders high off their blowout win. The Raiders hosted the worst team in the NFL last week and had the triple dead cat bounce after firing their coach, GM and QB.

The Browns are getting too many points with Deshaun Watson back. The Ravens have killed some good teams of late, but the Browns are a tough divisional rival with a good defense.

The Titans are a tough team that usually shows up, and I like getting them against a Bucs team coming off a dramatic last-minute loss.

I like the Falcons this week after all the Arthur Smith criticism. As a Bijan Robinson owner in three of five leagues, believe me, I get it, but I don’t think he’s as bad as he’s being made out to be, and Kyler Murray could be rusty his first game back.

I’m assuming Ja’Marr Chase plays because with Tee Hggins already out, that would be a problem, but as much as I buy into C.J. Stroud, this is a good sell-high spot after last week’s dramatic win.

I subbed in Cincy for Denver at the last second, so maybe that was a mistake, but while the team that beat up the Chiefs could show up, so might the one that lost to the Dolphins by 50.